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THE RUNNING INTERVAL SMOOTHER: A CONFIDENCE BAND HAVING SOME SPECIFIED SIMULTANEOUS PROBABILITY COVERAGE
Pages : [21] - [43]
Received : February 21, 2017; Revised March 7, 2017
Communicated by : Professor Gaorong Li
Abstract
Let be some conditional measure of location associated with the random variable Y, given X. Many nonparametric regression estimators of have been proposed. One that is particularly convenient when dealing with robust measures of location is a running interval smoother. The paper deals with the goal of computing K confidence intervals for corresponding to K values of the covariate X, where K is relatively large, that have simultaneous probability coverage When working with a 20% trimmed mean, methods based on the Studentized maximum modulus distribution or the Bonferroni method, for example, can be highly unsatisfactory. The paper describes and compares methods that provide more satisfactory results. When is taken to be the median of Y, given X, the approach based on 20% trimmed means performs poorly. An alternative approach, based in part on the Bonferroni method, was found that gives reasonably satisfactory results. It is illustrated that achieving reasonably accurate probability coverage depends in part on the choice for the span and that a good choice for the span is a function of the strength of the association.
Keywords
confidence band, smoothers, robust regression, trimmed mean.